With the rise of modern populism, traditional parties just can't win.
Harvard professor Clayton Christensen created the term disruptive technology to describe his observation that companies manufacturing mainframe computers could not switch to making desktop computers, and they ended up losing their market to these lower cost computers.
The main problem was that desktop computers had a completely different market. Mainframe companies were trapped serving their existing customers.
New start-up companies don't have any existing market and so can grow to serve a completely new market. In the case of the desktop computer, the technology improved until it replaced most of the market for mainframes. The new companies became rich and the old companies went bankrupt.
We are seeing similar disruption today in politics. Because of the internet, people are more informed than ever before about politics and political issues. This has created a new market of politically active private individuals.
Until now, politics has been dominated by special interest groups and big businesses. They have supported political parties, and influenced the media in favor of these parties, in exchange for special benefits and privileges which help them make money.
The most striking current example of this is the support of all the traditional federal parties for Supply Management. The dairy lobby even helped Andrew Scheer win the Conservative leadership, when Maxime Bernier, who is opposed to Supply Management, would have won otherwise.
The loss of the Conservative leadership was a blessing in disguise for Maxime Bernier. He was able to start a new party, the People's Party of Canada, unencumbered by the special interest ties of the traditional parties.
Special interest groups are the market for the old parties, and deep ties to this market make it difficult, or impossible, to shift to the new market of the newly active and informed public. Instead we see the old parties doubling down on their crony capitalist corruption, which will only lead to their downfall.
The People's Party is like the desktop computer and the established parties are like the mainframe. It's only a matter of time until the People's Party wins.
(image source, logo added)